UPDATED Nov. 14, 2022, at 11:11 PM
Can you outsmart our forecasts? Make your picks using the sliders below.
Our NFL forecasts are based on a simple algorithm that relies on Elo ratings, which use only a few pieces of information to rate each team and project each game. But beware: We’re asking you to make a probabilistic forecast for each matchup — and our game punishes overconfidence. For the full rules, read here. The margin of victory in each NFL game won’t affect your score.
Sign in using Google or Facebook to save your selections, and check back next week to see how well you did against FiveThirtyEight and everybody else playing the game.
You can also create a custom leaderboard and invite friends to compete in a private competition against each other.
You’ll lose points if the Titans win.
You’ll gain points if the Packers win.
You’ll lose points if the Panthers win.
You’ll gain points if the Ravens win.
You’ll lose points if the Bears win.
You’ll gain points if the Falcons win.
You’ll lose points if the Browns win.
You’ll gain points if the Bills win.
You’ll lose points if the Lions win.
You’ll gain points if the Giants win.
You’ll lose points if the Rams win.
You’ll gain points if the Saints win.
You’ll lose points if the Jets win.
You’ll gain points if the Patriots win.
You’ll lose points if the Eagles win.
You’ll gain points if the Colts win.
You’ll lose points if Washington wins.
You’ll gain points if the Texans win.
You’ll lose points if the Raiders win.
You’ll gain points if the Broncos win.
You’ll lose points if the Bengals win.
You’ll gain points if the Steelers win.
You’ll lose points if the Cowboys win.
You’ll gain points if the Vikings win.
You’ll lose points if the Chiefs win.
You’ll gain points if the Chargers win.
You’ll lose points if the 49ers win.
You’ll gain points if the Cardinals win.
Check back after this week’s games to see whether you beat FiveThirtyEight and how you stacked up against everyone else.
Sign in to save your forecasts and check back Tuesday morning to see whether you beat FiveThirtyEight and how you stacked up against everyone else.
You may want to sign up for weekly reminder emails to set your forecasts.
By signing up, you agree to the Terms of Use and acknowledge that you have read the Privacy Policy.
Thanks for signing up, we’ll send you a weekly reminder email.
Let other readers see where you rank.
When you sign in and create a leaderboard, you’ll receive a link to send to friends or colleagues to invite them to your competition. Anybody clicking the link will join your leaderboard once they are signed up.
Saving …
/forecasts completed
FiveThirtyEight has points.
You have 0.0 points.
That’s better than % of players.
Logging in …
By signing in, you agree to the Terms of Use and acknowledge that you have read the Privacy Policy.
Public leaderboards show only the players who have added their names.
Do you have questions about the game, see a problem or want to suggest an improvement? Email games@fivethirtyeight.com.
For code and data, see our GitHub repository.
Design and development by Jay Boice and Aaron Bycoffe.
© 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.